Fracture prevention in generally healthy adults not selected for deficiency
Evidence basis: randomised trials
Routine vitamin D supplementation did not reduce fractures in large trials of generally healthy adults.
Population: Generally healthy adults in randomized trials and meta-analyses; VITAL enrolled 25,871 US men aged 50 or older and women aged 55 or older, with median follow-up of 5.3 years.
Research details
Summary
A meta-analysis of 36 randomized trials involving 44,790 participants found no effect of vitamin D on total fractures (RR 1.00, 95% CI 0.93 to 1.07). In the VITAL fracture trial, vitamin D3 did not significantly affect total fractures in 25,871 generally healthy midlife and older adults (HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.08). Participants were not selected for vitamin D deficiency, low bone mass, or osteoporosis, so these results do not settle treatment for those conditions.
Why this certainty
Two large randomized evidence sources show a near-null fracture effect in broadly selected adults. Moderate certainty reflects the good trial base while keeping the conclusion limited to those populations.
Limitations
The trial population was not selected for deficiency or osteoporosis, and the findings should not be extended to treatment of diagnosed deficiency. Dose, baseline status, and co-interventions differed across the broader meta-analysis.
Effect estimate
VITAL total fracture HR 0.98 (95% CI 0.89 to 1.08); 36-trial meta-analysis RR 1.00 (95% CI 0.93 to 1.07).


